We found excellent opportunity for Pat Bev again, he has outperformed this number significantly over the last 5 games.
While the match up is tougher, is number is just too low and is higher across the industry by 2
Good Luck on this loaded NBA Slate
NBA Props
NBA prop analysis
Julius Randle Assists
Knicks starters have been absolutely dreadful, yielding more minutes to the bench mob. Despite the struggles Randle is still leading the team in potential assists by a wide margin with 11.2 over last 5, averaging 5.0 and is projected for 5.2
Seems like buy low spot on Randle’s asst prop that used to be approaching 6.5 just a few games ago.
Julius Randle o4.5A -102 FanDuel
FanDuel is offering lowest price at 30 cents discount to the rest of the industry even money
Looking for Randle to get back on track against short handed Lakers
This prop bet checks all the boxes of a PERFECT PROP BET
GL
LeVert Points on Betrivers
BetRivers really low on Caris LeVert points today offering line all the way down at 14.5, if you are bullish on Caris, take the over there. #CaesarsSportsbook and #DraftKings have that line all the way up at 16.5
Always shop for best line, massive spread like 2 points on point prop is huge in sports as projectable as NBA
Rudy Gobert Rebound Leader Undervalued
NBA Rebound Leader Rudy Gobert very undervalued at Caesars sportsbook offering a line of only 12.5 rebound. Gobert is projected to well exceed the line and the rest of the sportbetting market agree, the line is 13.5 everywhere else
Good luck with this Jazz Prop
Buddy Hield PAR Props
Buddy Hield performance has been up and down of late causing confusion in how to price him in the prop markets, you can now get buddy Points Asissts and Rebound props on
Draftkings and Caesars Sportsbooks at 20.5
Best Under at Fanduel 22.5
Bullish or bearish on Buddy , shop accordingly.
Fwiw his projection happens to be exactly 21
Good luck prop betting
Hayward and Murray Passing Props
Some Assist props for Hayward and Murray From Player Prop Research @findprops on Twitter:
Early #NBA75#Propbets Over favorites: Hayward o2.5A #FanDuel -140, rest of the industry -170 or higher number. 3.8 assists on 6.6potential assists last 5games.
Murray o6.5A +100 #CaesarsSportsbook projects over 8a, rest of the industry at least 30c higher. #sportsbettingpicks
These are best value lines where projections, market and past performance all projected to go over, if wanting to get the under on those prop bets, waiting till near start of the game will be able to get best numbers
Jalen Green with increased usage opportunity
Kevin Porter has been ruled out, meaning more ball handling duties for Jalen Green, some books have already reacted, but Draftkings and BetRivers are still offering his PAR totals down at 20.5 PAR prop. If you think the rookie will continue to struggle you can wait closer to game time and probably get the under in 23-24.5 range.
Classic extra usage usage without adjustment in line prop betting opportunity
Cole Anthony Assist Props way too low
Cole has been spectacular averaging 8.8 assists on 16 potential assists in the last 4 games, while is not very favorable tonight, setting his assist prop at only 4.5 near even money seems too low.
Tobias Harris looking to end slump
Tobias Harris has had a few rough performances after a bout with covid, tonight he gets another chance to attack his betting props. He is projected for ~33 PAR with Draftkings and Ceasaras hangins 30.5 PAR number. If you are looking to trend with the unders, Fanduel PAR number can be had as high as under 32.5
De’Aaron Fox Assists Line Too Low
All Major US sportsbooks are pricing starting PG De’Aaron Fox Asisst prop all the way down at 4.5. While the juice is -150 at Fanduel, William Hill and PointsBet, the line is simply too good to pass up. Sacramanento has been paying poorly costing Fox some minutes and not making enough shots on his potential dimes
13.2 potential assists and averaging 5.6 actual assists over the last 5 games is just too many to have the line down at 4.5 it will surely move up
Grab it this prop bet while you can
Basic Player Prop Betting Strategies
Betting player props is one of the best ways to enjoy the game. However, jamming the over on biggest name players when their stats got bid up to high number with heavy juice is not the way, that’s betting pattern is how beautiful Las Vegas buildings with sportsbooks are built.
Casually betting props is absolutely fine, but savings of 2 quarterback passing yards, 15 cents of juice or half an assist , touchdown can make a difference between being profitable over the long run or repeatedly smashing re-deposit button.
Below are some tips with examples of analysis posted just today before game that gave advantage that if multiplied by thousands of bets would make massive difference (no need to brag that they were all winners)
Use Multiple Sportsbooks for Betting Player Props
Multiple Sportsbooks will allow you access to higher amount of player prop wagering options to find the best prop line and price. Sportsbook also have many promotions: free bets, deposit bonuses, odds boosts, money back and even perks at your nearby casino locations.
Today’s two examples: Tim Hardaway a rebounder! and Bjelica the PG? listed Hardaway rebound market leading by 36 cents in some books, and Bjelica assist under had 60 cent advantage. Between just those two bets 100 cents or one whole bet were saved. Using multiple sportsbooks and selecting ones with 30-60 cent price advantage would allow user to massive 300-500 extra bets using the same amount of money.
Research Prop Wagers Early
It is not unusual for NFL player passing yard props to move as much as 20 yards, or NBA payer point + rebound + assist prop to move by 3. Big line moves are especially common in island or prime time games where all eyes are on the same “obvious” plays.
Especially in modern NBA , players commonly rest or are held back due to injuries.
Example: DURANT OUT! Hurry to get some props in – Durant was dealing with some injuries and was likely to sit. BKN was likely to be cautious of KD and rest him, that would thrust other players into larger usage positions against a weak opponent. Sure enough he was ruled out , Harden line jumped by 5 points and he went over.
Shop for the Best Line
Jalen Brunson back in big role – With Luca Doncic missing the game, Brunsons was biggest beneficiary, some books were offering a line that was 3 PAR lower than others, massive difference for NBA
Be Online for Player News
Hard working sports companies post near real-time updates of latest player news which significantly impact player prop betting lines. https://twitter.com/findprops and other accounts provide you with most recent player bet analysis.
New Role / Old Line
With many rest, injury and role changes throughout the season, players are often put into new rules and lines are slow to adjust, for instance Can Cade Cunningham stay hot? Sportsbooks had little data on the rookie: off to cold start , initially paying off ball, tough opponents and sportsbooks didnt have enough information on how to handicap rookie player. That has caused his line to be a little low at some books.
Combine Prop Betting Strategies
Early Shopping for the best line, on players with new roles and potential favorable rest/matchup scenarios can lead to much more enjoyable player prop wagering experience
Can Cade Cunningham stay hot?
PointsBet listing CADE PAR at lowest number in the industry , only 24.5. He has flown over that number last few games as his usage and role continue to grow, grab that number before it gets bid up like other books