NFL Props

Thanksgiving NFL Player Prop Bets on the Move

As expected in the Thanksgiving Early Prop Bet Lines piece, all the lines for PERFECT PROP BET type lines will fly, Dak’s lowest passing prop line has moved up 10 yards since the post, and it is not even Thanksgiving NFL Morning yet

Thanksgiving nfl betting player props analysis

Let’s look around the NFL Prop betting Landscape to locate the best values and take cues from the market of what’s to come

Dak Prescott Passing – over 265.5

if you did not get in on the line yesterday in the 250s, there are only two places to get Dak over passing at FanDuel or FoxBet who are offering industry passing props at over 265.5. Other sportsbook have this number as high as 278 and it will likely get into 280 on holiday morning. If it gets to 280’s might be time to consider buying some back , and shorting at 290s

David Montgomery number at 75.5 Rushing yards still has some value at Fanduel.

Buffalo Bills rushing combo

Moss and Singletary are both projected to rush for 30 or more yards, Moss best line at Caesars is 21.5 and Singletary 23.5 at Fanduel, these lines will likely move, no matter the workload reduction, high usage players having low 20s for rushing bets is just too low

Shop Zeke Value

Elliot is projected to rush for 74 yards, his over yardage lines are already on the move with the lowest one being on Draftkings available 60.5 -110.

Huge hap openned up on Zeke Rushing + Receiving prop, Draftkings offering up 82.5 , while the rest of the industry is at 89 or higher, massive value in DK line

Many of these NFL prop lines will be on the move, and if you find yourself chasing them before the kickoff will have to pay up for line 10yards higher in some case

Derek Carr Passing O260.5

This line is already on the move at all sportsbooks trading above 260 now. With projectiong still well higher than the nuber you can find 260.5s at FoxBet and Pointbet, with the rest of the betting world pricing this at 266.5 before for a number that will surely end in the 270s.

MOVERS:

Lines that are too close to call for perfectbet , but are and will keep getting the money to the upside, lets look at who is slower to price up:

Deonte Harris receiving, is slow to adjust up at 32.5 , bearish position can be taken at 36.5 Fanduel

Josh Allen Rushing props are going wild at FoxBet with 35.5, only 31.5 at BarStool

Still waiting for more Lions news, while Swift has been great, his line is likely to get up too high into the 70s for any bullish bets and will have to look to short around kick off time

Keep an eye on @findprops handle for all the time sensitive NFL and NBA Player betting values.

Hope you have a good NFL betting Thanksgiving!

November 24, 2021 by NFL Props 0

Thanksgiving Early Prop Bet Lines

NFL thanksgiving betting, finding best prop bets

Some uncertainty with injuries and news, but sportsbooks are starting to put up some lines for what is going to be a massive betting slate on Thanksgiving with games of questionable excitement. Lets try to identify early lines that will almost certainly move by kickoff and find some PERFECT PROP BET types

Montgomery of 76.5 Rushing yard -115 at Caesars

Favorable game script and increasing work load., projection of 92 yards and market already moving up.

DAK Attack

Dak is projected to pass for 285 yards and you can get his passing line at 258 passing yards at FanDuel currently. Big name QB line on island holiday game will get A LOT of money.
Dak passing TD can be had at Fanduel +110 and PointsBet +105. Those are not going to stay+ money for many more hours.

Renfrow O50.5 Receiving on FoxBet

projected into mid 60s, will get plenty of targets, potentially good game flow

Zeke Elliott O60.5 rushing on FanDuel and FoxBet

Projected for 74 Rushing yards, Big name , huge contract , lots of money of money will be pushing this prop up , get it now if you agree with projection.

No moneyback guarantee on all these, but when big sites wake up and push the overs on these props at 5 yards higher, it will be nice to have some free yards. And if gaps are too huge, can buy some back for middle opportunities.

November 23, 2021 by NFL Props 0

MNF NFL WK11 Prime Time Crunch Time

Lucky guess last night in MNF Prop Bets – Giants Passing Attack – Week 11 that all the 5 listed prob bets will get action and will be on the move , 12-16 hours later all the big site touts around the web have started pumping them and there has been about 50 total yards of movement. One hour to go until lock: Lets look at the best available props

Passing Yardage props:

mnf passing props

Nothing new, lines got steamed pretty aggressively, for follow up on all the price moves and best available liens please see https://twitter.com/findprops/status/1462942569504071681

GL TOnight, will cover prime time and island game strategies more in depth this week

November 22, 2021 by NFL Props 0

MNF Prop Bets – Giants Passing Attack – Week 11

Not much is scarier in the NFL than expecting multiple New York Giants to outperform expectations, but here we are looking at whole passing attack

Hopefully there are no 11 minutes prime time game drives to kill all the player prop over dreams on this prime time slate and Tampa Bucks create passing friendly game script for the Giants

mnf player prop betting analysis, looking for giants to outperform their numbers

Lets combine leading prop betting indications with projections and line shopping to sort through the most favorable spots to bet.

Kadarius Toney 038.5 on FanDuel

Toney receiving prop is the most lopsided vs the projection and has moved over 40 on most books.

Daniel Jones Over 234.5 Passing Yards -113 on FanDuel

All other books have this number north of 240 and projection is in high 250s, line shopping on the eve of island game is key here as line will likely approach 250 by kick off. Things happen in NFL , but fading projections and markets it tough here.

Kenny Golladay Rec Yard Over 45.5 -115 on FoxBet

Golladay is projected for mid 50s and yards only FanDuel and FoxBet are book still offering this prop under 50

Darius Slayton Over 30.5 -115.0 DraftKings

This is wild, but yes Slayton also projects above his lowest prop, at 41 receiving yards, line has moved to 35-36 some places

Week 11 prop betting market will also be hot for the Bucs:

CHRIS GODWIN o69.5 -115 DraftKings

Godwin has been heavily targeted recently, projects into low 80s and we found the line at the last book offering passing prop under 70, this line will for sure move before kickoff, if bullish on TB top target, time to get in is now.

Leonard Fournette Over 90.5 Rush + Rec yards at FanDuel

Uncle Lenny has been fairly game script proof and has eclipsed this number in most games this season. Projection has him over this number, but not by a lot, so if bullish on Fournette its important to grab this line now as it will likely approach a hundred by the kick off time

Brady is now favorite to win the MVP leading the field at +300 odds, so he will surely look to abuse Giants passing defense here. Brady is biggest name in the NFL and will definitely attract money going into prime time game, for now his best over passing prop can be found at Fanduel o294.5, if you think grandpa will faulter, should be able to grab his unders closer to 310 by game time.

Good Luck prop betting and counting on Giants passing attack

November 22, 2021 by NFL Props 0

Week 11 NFL Breakfast Props

Good Morning, as NFL inactives are pouring in , it is time for another wild NFL betting week. Let look at some player props to target this morning

Alex Collins over 48.5 Rushing on FanDuel

Seahawks Collins is projected to handle a larger role in the backfield and all the the number has moved well past 50 at most books with projection in high 60s of rushing yards.

TY Hilton o 2.5rec -128 on FanDuel

TY is getting healthier and should get 3+ catches in the game, FanDuel is the lowest on this reception props in the industry, big relative value here

Have a good and profitable NFL betting week! Check many of yesterday’s NFL Props posted, should have near a dozen.

November 21, 2021 by NFL Props 0

Week 11 NFL Prop Betting Preview – Sunday Eve

Yesterday’s player prop lines that will be on the move, featuring Tua Passing Prop Value and Week 11 FanDuel NFL RB Prop Value, now moved by 10+ yards at some sportsbooks.

Some bigger sports betting tout sites are just now starting to publish Tua and RB player props now after the lines have moved.

Let’s look around the NFL price shopping for best bets vs projections and overall betting market. Save some yards, juice t0 maximize chances of winning

Carson Wentz Over 219.5 on Draftkings and Caesars

Passing yard prop lin is 27 yards below his projection , other sportsbooks are indicating lines higher as much as by 12 yards. Game script is also potentially favorable for QB.

Jalen Hurst over 205.5 pass yds on FoxBet

Both projections and other sportsbooks are indicating him going over the number

Kirk Cousins UNDER 268.4 at Caesars and Draftkings

Money is flowing in on the under and can be found as much as 10 yards below this line and his passing prop is projected almost 30 yards lower. Green bays improved defense and slower game pace figures into this.

nfl week 11 betting props , find best lines for passing and receiving yards

BONUS: Biggest Position Player prop movers:

AJ BROWN OVER 70.5 REC YDS- projected for massive receiving day of almost 100 receiving yards, his rec prop is still lagging at 70.5 at FoxBet and PointsBet with some books already approaching 80

Good luck in betting your favorite props for NFL week 11!

November 20, 2021 by NFL Props 0

Tua Passing Prop Value

Tua Tagovailoa passing yardage is projected at 277 yards, while most books are already offering bets in mid to high 250s , great value for over bettors is still available at FoxBet. Passing prop at FoxBet is still only 245.5, the line is likely to touch 260s by Sunday morning at most sportsbooks

November 20, 2021 by NFL Props 0

Week 11 FanDuel NFL RB Prop Value

Another spicy NFL week coming up, more big opportunities for the following RBs, Fanduel is discounting these lines by 8-10 yards vs industry competition:

D’Onta Foreman Over 51.5 rushing yards -114
Mark Ingram Over 49.5 rushing yards -108
Dalvin Cook Over Rush & Rec total Over 100.5 -114

Fanduel NFL props have had a good run of taking money of over bettors, but having lines lower yards lower than the rest of the industry might be worth taking a stab at for bettors bullish on above players

November 20, 2021 by NFL Props 0

NFL Week 11 early player prop moves

Week 11 Shaping up to be wild once again with under running wild and underdogs barking for three straight week. Below are props across USA books that are currently lagging their peers, with your touts most likely trying to place you on some of these bets right before the kickoff, see if you can get early start on props where money is coming in:

Aaron Rodgers Pass Over 265.5 -115.0 at FoxBet trailing their peers by as many as 12 passing yards.

Unlike Rodgers, community seems to be much lower on Carson Wentz with FOXBET still handing Under Pass all the way up at 230.5

Is Dalton Schultz gonna tear up the chiefs? BetRivers is the highest on the TE hanging 47.5 yd prop for him

Renfrow continue to perform? FOXBET is hanging the lowest reception prop on the board at 55.5

November 19, 2021 by NFL Props 0