MNF Prop Bets – Giants Passing Attack – Week 11

Not much is scarier in the NFL than expecting multiple New York Giants to outperform expectations, but here we are looking at whole passing attack

Hopefully there are no 11 minutes prime time game drives to kill all the player prop over dreams on this prime time slate and Tampa Bucks create passing friendly game script for the Giants

mnf player prop betting analysis, looking for giants to outperform their numbers

Lets combine leading prop betting indications with projections and line shopping to sort through the most favorable spots to bet.

Kadarius Toney 038.5 on FanDuel

Toney receiving prop is the most lopsided vs the projection and has moved over 40 on most books.

Daniel Jones Over 234.5 Passing Yards -113 on FanDuel

All other books have this number north of 240 and projection is in high 250s, line shopping on the eve of island game is key here as line will likely approach 250 by kick off. Things happen in NFL , but fading projections and markets it tough here.

Kenny Golladay Rec Yard Over 45.5 -115 on FoxBet

Golladay is projected for mid 50s and yards only FanDuel and FoxBet are book still offering this prop under 50

Darius Slayton Over 30.5 -115.0 DraftKings

This is wild, but yes Slayton also projects above his lowest prop, at 41 receiving yards, line has moved to 35-36 some places

Week 11 prop betting market will also be hot for the Bucs:

CHRIS GODWIN o69.5 -115 DraftKings

Godwin has been heavily targeted recently, projects into low 80s and we found the line at the last book offering passing prop under 70, this line will for sure move before kickoff, if bullish on TB top target, time to get in is now.

Leonard Fournette Over 90.5 Rush + Rec yards at FanDuel

Uncle Lenny has been fairly game script proof and has eclipsed this number in most games this season. Projection has him over this number, but not by a lot, so if bullish on Fournette its important to grab this line now as it will likely approach a hundred by the kick off time

Brady is now favorite to win the MVP leading the field at +300 odds, so he will surely look to abuse Giants passing defense here. Brady is biggest name in the NFL and will definitely attract money going into prime time game, for now his best over passing prop can be found at Fanduel o294.5, if you think grandpa will faulter, should be able to grab his unders closer to 310 by game time.

Good Luck prop betting and counting on Giants passing attack

November 22, 2021 by NFL Props 0

Sunday November 21 NHL Shot Props

As fun as NFL betting is on a Sunday, some of the best lines to attack are NBA and NHL shot prob bets where sportsbooks are more relaxed in their line setting

Many good opportunities to attack shot props from the great Todd Cordell very under followed twitter account

Adrian Kempe O2.5 (-111)

• Kempe is averaging 6.5 attempts, 3.6 SOG over L10
• Kempe has been skating on L1 and PP1
• Is primary shooter on PP against ARI team that gives up a ton of shots on the PK

Brock Boeser O2.5 (-105)

• Is averaging 5.2 attempts, 2.8 SOG over L10
• Chicago ranks 29th in attempts against/60 over L10
• Pace-up spot against bad team in latter half of B2B
• With VAN splitting best players up, should get soft matchups against top-heavy team

Bo Horvat O2.5 (+120)

• Has multiple shots in all but one game this season; always in the mix
• As mentioned w/ Boeser, Horvat is in a pace-up spot against a fatigued team that bleeds shots
• Simply put, I see too much value on this line. Should be ~EV.

Jaden Schwartz O2.5 (+104)

• Averaging 5.9 attempts, 3.6 SOG over L10
• Has established himself as SEA’s primary shooter
• Has 3+ SOG in 7 of 9
• Generates significantly more shots at home, where he gets put in more favorable situations
• WSH banged up, in road B2B

Jeff Skinner (-123)

• Averaging 3.3 SOG over L10
• Has gone over number in 4 of 5
• Rangers playing unfathomably bad defense; allowing league-leading 66 attempts/60 over L10

As always shop around for the best sportsbooks for NHL shot prop line best price. On Sundays many line traders are sleeping and attending to their massive NFL Sunday handle so value can be found on NHL and NBA Props

Good Luck!

November 21, 2021 by NHL Props 0

Week 11 NFL Breakfast Props

Good Morning, as NFL inactives are pouring in , it is time for another wild NFL betting week. Let look at some player props to target this morning

Alex Collins over 48.5 Rushing on FanDuel

Seahawks Collins is projected to handle a larger role in the backfield and all the the number has moved well past 50 at most books with projection in high 60s of rushing yards.

TY Hilton o 2.5rec -128 on FanDuel

TY is getting healthier and should get 3+ catches in the game, FanDuel is the lowest on this reception props in the industry, big relative value here

Have a good and profitable NFL betting week! Check many of yesterday’s NFL Props posted, should have near a dozen.

November 21, 2021 by NFL Props 0

Week 11 NFL Prop Betting Preview – Sunday Eve

Yesterday’s player prop lines that will be on the move, featuring Tua Passing Prop Value and Week 11 FanDuel NFL RB Prop Value, now moved by 10+ yards at some sportsbooks.

Some bigger sports betting tout sites are just now starting to publish Tua and RB player props now after the lines have moved.

Let’s look around the NFL price shopping for best bets vs projections and overall betting market. Save some yards, juice t0 maximize chances of winning

Carson Wentz Over 219.5 on Draftkings and Caesars

Passing yard prop lin is 27 yards below his projection , other sportsbooks are indicating lines higher as much as by 12 yards. Game script is also potentially favorable for QB.

Jalen Hurst over 205.5 pass yds on FoxBet

Both projections and other sportsbooks are indicating him going over the number

Kirk Cousins UNDER 268.4 at Caesars and Draftkings

Money is flowing in on the under and can be found as much as 10 yards below this line and his passing prop is projected almost 30 yards lower. Green bays improved defense and slower game pace figures into this.

nfl week 11 betting props , find best lines for passing and receiving yards

BONUS: Biggest Position Player prop movers:

AJ BROWN OVER 70.5 REC YDS- projected for massive receiving day of almost 100 receiving yards, his rec prop is still lagging at 70.5 at FoxBet and PointsBet with some books already approaching 80

Good luck in betting your favorite props for NFL week 11!

November 20, 2021 by NFL Props 0

Jalen Green with increased usage opportunity

Kevin Porter has been ruled out, meaning more ball handling duties for Jalen Green, some books have already reacted, but Draftkings and BetRivers are still offering his PAR totals down at 20.5 PAR prop. If you think the rookie will continue to struggle you can wait closer to game time and probably get the under in 23-24.5 range.

Classic extra usage usage without adjustment in line prop betting opportunity

November 20, 2021 by NBA Props 0

Tobias Harris looking to end slump

Tobias Harris has had a few rough performances after a bout with covid, tonight he gets another chance to attack his betting props. He is projected for ~33 PAR with Draftkings and Ceasaras hangins 30.5 PAR number. If you are looking to trend with the unders, Fanduel PAR number can be had as high as under 32.5

November 20, 2021 by NBA Props 0

De’Aaron Fox Assists Line Too Low

All Major US sportsbooks are pricing starting PG De’Aaron Fox Asisst prop all the way down at 4.5. While the juice is -150 at Fanduel, William Hill and PointsBet, the line is simply too good to pass up. Sacramanento has been paying poorly costing Fox some minutes and not making enough shots on his potential dimes

betting payer props - based on potential assists

13.2 potential assists and averaging 5.6 actual assists over the last 5 games is just too many to have the line down at 4.5 it will surely move up

Grab it this prop bet while you can

November 20, 2021 by NBA Props 0

Early Prop Betting Research

Yesterday following along some key strategies from Basic Player Prop Betting Strategies we spotted Tua Passing Prop Value opportunity to maximize chances of getting on the best player prop value on the board according to research/projections

player prop research, best price props, tua passing
Tweet spotting early opportunity

In the morning lowest line was up to 254.5 , 9 yard savings , and probably more for the late Sunday morning crowd,

Follow and subscribe for more live execution of prop betting strategies that can make difference in hundreds of units

November 20, 2021 by Betting Tips 0

Tua Passing Prop Value

Tua Tagovailoa passing yardage is projected at 277 yards, while most books are already offering bets in mid to high 250s , great value for over bettors is still available at FoxBet. Passing prop at FoxBet is still only 245.5, the line is likely to touch 260s by Sunday morning at most sportsbooks

November 20, 2021 by NFL Props 0

Week 11 FanDuel NFL RB Prop Value

Another spicy NFL week coming up, more big opportunities for the following RBs, Fanduel is discounting these lines by 8-10 yards vs industry competition:

D’Onta Foreman Over 51.5 rushing yards -114
Mark Ingram Over 49.5 rushing yards -108
Dalvin Cook Over Rush & Rec total Over 100.5 -114

Fanduel NFL props have had a good run of taking money of over bettors, but having lines lower yards lower than the rest of the industry might be worth taking a stab at for bettors bullish on above players

November 20, 2021 by NFL Props 0