Betting player props is one of the best ways to enjoy the game. However, jamming the over on biggest name players when their stats got bid up to high number with heavy juice is not the way, that’s betting pattern is how beautiful Las Vegas buildings with sportsbooks are built.
Casually betting props is absolutely fine, but savings of 2 quarterback passing yards, 15 cents of juice or half an assist , touchdown can make a difference between being profitable over the long run or repeatedly smashing re-deposit button.
Below are some tips with examples of analysis posted just today before game that gave advantage that if multiplied by thousands of bets would make massive difference (no need to brag that they were all winners)
Use Multiple Sportsbooks for Betting Player Props
Multiple Sportsbooks will allow you access to higher amount of player prop wagering options to find the best prop line and price. Sportsbook also have many promotions: free bets, deposit bonuses, odds boosts, money back and even perks at your nearby casino locations.
Today’s two examples: Tim Hardaway a rebounder! and Bjelica the PG? listed Hardaway rebound market leading by 36 cents in some books, and Bjelica assist under had 60 cent advantage. Between just those two bets 100 cents or one whole bet were saved. Using multiple sportsbooks and selecting ones with 30-60 cent price advantage would allow user to massive 300-500 extra bets using the same amount of money.
Research Prop Wagers Early
It is not unusual for NFL player passing yard props to move as much as 20 yards, or NBA payer point + rebound + assist prop to move by 3. Big line moves are especially common in island or prime time games where all eyes are on the same “obvious” plays.
Especially in modern NBA , players commonly rest or are held back due to injuries.
Example: DURANT OUT! Hurry to get some props in – Durant was dealing with some injuries and was likely to sit. BKN was likely to be cautious of KD and rest him, that would thrust other players into larger usage positions against a weak opponent. Sure enough he was ruled out , Harden line jumped by 5 points and he went over.
Shop for the Best Line
Jalen Brunson back in big role – With Luca Doncic missing the game, Brunsons was biggest beneficiary, some books were offering a line that was 3 PAR lower than others, massive difference for NBA
Be Online for Player News
Hard working sports companies post near real-time updates of latest player news which significantly impact player prop betting lines. https://twitter.com/findprops and other accounts provide you with most recent player bet analysis.
New Role / Old Line
With many rest, injury and role changes throughout the season, players are often put into new rules and lines are slow to adjust, for instance Can Cade Cunningham stay hot? Sportsbooks had little data on the rookie: off to cold start , initially paying off ball, tough opponents and sportsbooks didnt have enough information on how to handicap rookie player. That has caused his line to be a little low at some books.
Combine Prop Betting Strategies
Early Shopping for the best line, on players with new roles and potential favorable rest/matchup scenarios can lead to much more enjoyable player prop wagering experience
