thanksgiving

Thanksgiving NFL Player Prop Bets on the Move

As expected in the Thanksgiving Early Prop Bet Lines piece, all the lines for PERFECT PROP BET type lines will fly, Dak’s lowest passing prop line has moved up 10 yards since the post, and it is not even Thanksgiving NFL Morning yet

Thanksgiving nfl betting player props analysis

Let’s look around the NFL Prop betting Landscape to locate the best values and take cues from the market of what’s to come

Dak Prescott Passing – over 265.5

if you did not get in on the line yesterday in the 250s, there are only two places to get Dak over passing at FanDuel or FoxBet who are offering industry passing props at over 265.5. Other sportsbook have this number as high as 278 and it will likely get into 280 on holiday morning. If it gets to 280’s might be time to consider buying some back , and shorting at 290s

David Montgomery number at 75.5 Rushing yards still has some value at Fanduel.

Buffalo Bills rushing combo

Moss and Singletary are both projected to rush for 30 or more yards, Moss best line at Caesars is 21.5 and Singletary 23.5 at Fanduel, these lines will likely move, no matter the workload reduction, high usage players having low 20s for rushing bets is just too low

Shop Zeke Value

Elliot is projected to rush for 74 yards, his over yardage lines are already on the move with the lowest one being on Draftkings available 60.5 -110.

Huge hap openned up on Zeke Rushing + Receiving prop, Draftkings offering up 82.5 , while the rest of the industry is at 89 or higher, massive value in DK line

Many of these NFL prop lines will be on the move, and if you find yourself chasing them before the kickoff will have to pay up for line 10yards higher in some case

Derek Carr Passing O260.5

This line is already on the move at all sportsbooks trading above 260 now. With projectiong still well higher than the nuber you can find 260.5s at FoxBet and Pointbet, with the rest of the betting world pricing this at 266.5 before for a number that will surely end in the 270s.

MOVERS:

Lines that are too close to call for perfectbet , but are and will keep getting the money to the upside, lets look at who is slower to price up:

Deonte Harris receiving, is slow to adjust up at 32.5 , bearish position can be taken at 36.5 Fanduel

Josh Allen Rushing props are going wild at FoxBet with 35.5, only 31.5 at BarStool

Still waiting for more Lions news, while Swift has been great, his line is likely to get up too high into the 70s for any bullish bets and will have to look to short around kick off time

Keep an eye on @findprops handle for all the time sensitive NFL and NBA Player betting values.

Hope you have a good NFL betting Thanksgiving!

Thanksgiving Early Prop Bet Lines

NFL thanksgiving betting, finding best prop bets

Some uncertainty with injuries and news, but sportsbooks are starting to put up some lines for what is going to be a massive betting slate on Thanksgiving with games of questionable excitement. Lets try to identify early lines that will almost certainly move by kickoff and find some PERFECT PROP BET types

Montgomery of 76.5 Rushing yard -115 at Caesars

Favorable game script and increasing work load., projection of 92 yards and market already moving up.

DAK Attack

Dak is projected to pass for 285 yards and you can get his passing line at 258 passing yards at FanDuel currently. Big name QB line on island holiday game will get A LOT of money.
Dak passing TD can be had at Fanduel +110 and PointsBet +105. Those are not going to stay+ money for many more hours.

Renfrow O50.5 Receiving on FoxBet

projected into mid 60s, will get plenty of targets, potentially good game flow

Zeke Elliott O60.5 rushing on FanDuel and FoxBet

Projected for 74 Rushing yards, Big name , huge contract , lots of money of money will be pushing this prop up , get it now if you agree with projection.

No moneyback guarantee on all these, but when big sites wake up and push the overs on these props at 5 yards higher, it will be nice to have some free yards. And if gaps are too huge, can buy some back for middle opportunities.